How Scarcity Affects You and Your Clients

Ben Jaques-Leslie

Minnesota Management and Budget

2026-04-15

What do these people have in common?

  • A financial worker at the beginning of the month with a line of participants out the door
  • A mother in a low-income Minnesota family with bills to pay
  • A chronically food-insecure man who doesn’t know when his next meal will come

Plan for Session

  1. Scarcity
  2. Bandwidth
  3. Tunnel
  4. Poverty in the context of scarcity
  5. Behavioral science
  6. Designing for scarcity

What do these people have in common?

They all experience scarcity.

Scarcity of time, income, and calories.

These things are very different, but when people experience scarcity, they tend to behave in very similar ways.

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Question: In one or two words — where do you feel scarcity in your own life or work?

Limited Bandwidth

  • Bandwidth is the brain’s capacity to perform basic functions that underlie higher-order behavior and decision-making.
  • Road under construction: A lane closes. Traffic slows. Some cars take the wrong exit.
  • 40 browser tabs open: Every new page loads slower. You’re pulling more through the same connection.
  • Scarcity taxes this capacity.

Tunnel

When bandwidth is strained, people tunnel—focusing on the most immediate need and reducing long-term thinking.

In 1944, researchers at the University of Minnesota deliberately starved 36 conscientious objectors. As the men lost weight, many became obsessed with food. When they watched movies, they ignored the dialogue and focused on any food on screen.

Extreme scarcity produces extreme tunneling.

Scarcity in the Context of Poverty

“I was just in a rush to get home… because day care closes at 6. I get off at 5… a 10-mile drive, busy traffic… I had to pick up diapers…”

— Brandi Drew

Brandi used the wrong card. She was fired after 10 years on the job.

She later maxed out a $500 credit card on household supplies. By the time she paid it off, she owed over $800.

Car Trouble — $300

Imagine you’ve got car trouble and repairs cost $300. Your auto insurance will cover half the cost. You need to decide whether to go ahead and get the car fixed, or take a chance and hope that it lasts a while longer.

How would you make this decision? Financially, would it be easy or hard?

Researchers then administered a cognitive test.

Car Trouble — $3,000

Imagine you’ve got car trouble and repairs cost $3,000. Your auto insurance will cover half the cost. You need to decide whether to go ahead and get the car fixed, or take a chance and hope that it lasts a while longer.

How would you make this decision? Financially, would it be easy or hard?

Researchers then administered the same cognitive test.

Join the Poll

Go to menti.com

or scan the QR code:

Question: Same decision, cost goes from $300 to $3,000. How does your answer change?

IQ Point Drop for People with Lower Incomes

  • 14 IQ points lower among lower-income respondents in the $3,000 condition — but not the $300 condition.
  • The same difference as between “superior” and “average” intelligence. Greater than the deficit from staying awake for 24 hours.
  • Subsequent replications have found varying effect sizes. The core finding — that financial worry temporarily impairs cognition — remains well-supported.

Poverty Is Chronic Scarcity

Simply thinking about a financial stressor had this effect. What happens when scarcity is real and constant?

In India, researchers tested sugarcane farmers before and after harvest. Cognitive performance improved after they were paid — not because they changed, but because the scarcity lifted.

For people in persistent poverty, there is no harvest. There is no cushion. Mistakes that are trivial for higher-income people can be catastrophic.

Where Do These Lessons Come From?

Behavioral Science

  • Draws from psychology, marketing, neuroscience, and behavioral economics.

  • Key findings:

    • Shorter deadlines produce greater responsiveness than longer ones
    • Too many choices leads to no choice at all
  • Core question: Why do people not behave rationally? What causes us to make so many decisions that aren’t in our best interest?

How Do People Take Action?

Traditional view

  1. Weigh available information
  2. Assess costs and benefits
  3. Make the best personal choice
  4. Take action

Behavioral view

Where’d I put that email?

I don’t understand what it says.

When is my paycheck?

Will I ever even need this?

Crap! I need to decide.

Uhhh… this one.

I’ll do it tomorrow.

Life Gets in the Way

Life gets in the way of rational decision-making on the best of days.

Our systems exacerbate behavioral barriers — for workers and for participants.

Hassle Factors

  • Hassle factors cause people to fail to act due to sometimes small inconveniences.
  • We might intend to mail a document for weeks, but finding a stamp is enough to convince us that tomorrow is a better day.
  • Example: The SNAP/MFIP application starts with two pages of dense text. Questions are hard to parse. Now imagine English isn’t your first language.

Group Discussion

What are examples of hassle factors in your work?

~5 minutes

Designing for Scarcity

Three principles for reshaping programs and interactions:

  1. Cut costs — reduce friction and inconvenience (not budget)
  2. Create slack — build in room for error
  3. Reframe and empower — treat families as experts

Cutting Costs: Michigan Works!

Michigan Works! in SW Michigan targeted UI recipients to help them return to work faster. Low participation was the problem.

Intervention: Behavioral researchers designed encouragement emails — positive tone, personally addressed, concise instructions, reminders, and planning prompts.

Result: Randomized recipients were more likely to set up a session and complete the program.

Removing friction — not changing the program itself — improved access and completion.

Creating Slack: Packing a Car

  • A large car: forget something and there’s room to add it.
  • A small car: one forgotten item means repacking everything.
  • Apply to money: A low income means everything must go perfectly. Any surprise can cascade.
  • Apply to programs: What if a missed deadline triggered a reminder and grace period instead of immediate closure? That’s slack.
  • Look for opportunities to create slack in time, resources, and process.

Group Discussion

What costs do our systems put on you?

~5 minutes

Group Discussion

Are there opportunities to create more slack in your work?

~5 minutes

Reflection

How do your own experiences with scarcity affect your work with participants?

Reframe and Empower: Some Ideas

Intentional language - “People with low incomes” not “poor people” - “Participant” not “case”; “Coach” not “case manager”

Plausible paths - Share peers’ successful paths; use concrete action plans

Families as experts - Make decisions with families, not for them

Community and relationships - Relational approaches — emphasizing social connection and collective success — outperform individual self-sufficiency messaging - Ask: “Who supports you?” not just “What’s your plan?”

Group Discussion

How have you tried to reframe your interactions with families?

~5 minutes

Group Discussion

What is one thing you can do differently next week?

~3 minutes

Conclusion

  • Scarcity affects all of us, and affects people with low incomes most acutely and chronically.
  • Our systems create behavioral barriers for both workers and participants.
  • When a worker who is tunneling meets a participant who is tunneling, that’s where friction lives — and that’s where small changes matter most.
  • Three principles — cutting costs, creating slack, and reframing and empowering — can make our programs and interactions work better.

Thank You

Ben Jaques-Leslie Results Coordinator Minnesota Management and Budget

ben.jaques-leslie@state.mn.us 651-431-3940